Tag Archives: Moore Law


Next week, Harold Jarche and I are headed to a series of meetings with a client whose organization has severe hang-ups about web security. Access to many important sites on the net is verboten. Geez. How to work around something like this?

Our usual response that “smart phones route around IT” doesn’t cut it when you want to work web 2.0 tools into the organizational fabric.

Today I bought a gadget to get us the access we need. Maybe it will become the organization’s guerilla on-ramp to the net. It’s a mi-fi card from Verizon.

This is a slick little gadget. Fits in the palm of your hand. It’s smaller than my iPhone. It looks cool.

When I push the button (there’s only one on the device), it immediately sets up five wi-fi access points.

The price tag of these things had kept me out of the market, but Verizon has a sale going now. The Mi-Fi device is free (although you’ll still have to pay sales tax on it). The basic service is $35/month and you have to sign up for two years to get the deal.

I’m confident the Mi-Fi is going to pay for itself by skirting the access fees charged by #(&$#! hotels and #&($& airports. No more squinting at my iPhone when there’s a document I need to read.

Thanks once again, Moore’s Law.

Moore's Social Law

This week Extreme Tech carries an article entitled Does Moore’s Law Help or Hinder the PC Industry? that sheds some light on leveraging social networks. In the world of transistors…

“Moore’s Law is frequently misquoted, and frequently misrepresented,” noted Gammage. While most people believe it means that you double the speed and the power of processors every 18 to 24 months, that notion is in fact wrong, Gammage said. “Moore’s Law is all about the density‚Ķthe density of those transistors, and not what we choose to do with it.” So basically, under Moore’s Law the number of transistors in a processor increases geometrically, typically yielding more performance every 18 to 24 months, but not always.

By extension, the velocity of information access in a social network isn’t going to double because the people involved are chugging espresso. What’s important is the density of connections. The more interconnections, the faster the network.

Now and then…

My greatest dilemma is whether to focus my energy on present issues or on dreaming up future ones. Peter Drucker said that a good businessperson must have his “nose to the grindstone and eyes to the hills.” He didn’t divulge the proportions.

I had planned to spend the day doing my finances, reading Wikinomics, and getting back into my exercise routine. It’s noon here and I’ve done none of these. Instead I’ve answered email, wandered around in Second Life, surfed the net, thought about the next steps for building Internet Time Wiki into something useful, and polished at article that goes out tomorrow.

trio2_sl_avatarsThe article’s on using virtual worlds for learning. Three of us are collaborating on the writing via Google docs. It’s tempting to get philosophical on this. Who’s really writing the article? If my avatar does part of my research, does he get author credit, too?

What happens when Moore’s Law makes virtual worlds hi-res, with lightening reflexes and cool collaboration tools? A few friends of mine are aleady addicted to Second Life and have just about made it their First Life. Will society flip into another mode when shared mind is on the other side of the screen, and avatars look so real you are tempted to take one home with you?

Day-dreaming is another thief of the time I need to read Wikinomics. Maybe I’ll cajole myself into thinking that I’ll simply live wikinomics instead of reading about it.

As for Internet Time Wiki, I could use the blogosphere’s help. The red circle below contains my current vision:


Among the things I hope to accomplish are:

  • hosting conversations between business managers and learning professionals
  • sharing ideas that address the current imbalance between formal and informal learning
  • making my thoughts transparent so I can readily engage in conversation beyond the basics
  • showing off my writing, photos, concepts, and thought experiments
  • recommend and showcase approaches and solutions I belive will make a difference
  • offering a 24/7 salon where people can ask questions and share experiences
  • convince people to pay Jay to speak, advise, and travel the world on their dime
  • experimenting with new approaches to collaboration and learning

Anyone know of a kick-ass app to promote conversation? I am looking for something lightweight that makes it easy for people to connect and converse.

The site will be free, but I’m conflicted about membership issues. Registration? Vandalism? Join the netowrk?

For the present, it is only me doing this, so the whole deal must be easy to maintain. To the extent possible, it should be self-sustaining.

And I encourage participation. If someone’s got a hot idea, I encourage them to run with it.

There are more issues, but that’s all for now. If you have suggestions, either comment or post to the Internet Time Wiki.

Running with scissors

DISK BOOT ERROR! Insert System CD to continue.

What an awful way to start a morning. Of course, the disk in question contains most of the key files in my digital life. After an hour of futzing around, I finally got in.

The SONY box underneath my desk is more powerful than any computer in the entire world a few decades back. That’s great, but the downside is that it is not a consumer device. If I were a novice, I’d still be staring at the DISK BOOT ERROR! message. I don’t know where I’d turn.

Yesterday I was reading an article about how “thin clients” are poised to make a comeback. Your software resides on the net, as it does with Gmail or Salesforce.com; your applications are “hosted.” The pros take care of security, upgrades, and backup. Your home machine is more a simple terminal than a full-fledged computer.

Technology has gotten ahead of us. Bleeding-edge, screamer computers are great for early adopters and hobbyists; it’s the mental equivalent of souping up your hot-rod. For others, just because Moore’s Law has made household supercomputers affordable doesn’t mean everyone should run out to buy one.

Earth to Jakob Nielsen

Jakob Nielsen’s useit.com is ten years old! Ten years ago, slow dial-up connections were the prevalent on-ramp to the net, and large graphics gummed up the works. Jakob’s site remains almost entirely text. For a supposed usability expert, this defies all logic.

Here’s a rare graphic from Jakob’s site. Note the dates.

The speed of downloading needs to be balanced by the beauty and undertsanding graphics can bring to a site. Avoiding graphics is like writing tiny programs in machine language because once upon a time a floppy held only 180 KB. Wise people change when Moore’s Law rewrites the rules.

Another point, totally unrelated but not enough to justify another post. IT Conversations is a wonderful way to learn things. I just got home from my daily walk. Tim O’Reilly and then John Hagel were whispering in my ear all along. Before mp3’s, exercise bored me to tears. Now fresh content has become a motivation.